2024 Tus sau: Leah Sherlock | [email protected]. Kawg hloov kho: 2023-12-17 05:37
Sergei Borisovich Pereslegin yog tus kws sau ntawv nto moo, kws tshawb fawb, kws tshawb fawb, kws tshawb fawb futurologist. Nws cov kev txaus siab yog dav heev thiab suav nrog theoretical physics, keeb kwm, science ntawv tseeb, kev txawj ntse thev naus laus zis, thiab kev kwv yees yav tom ntej. Nyob rau hauv tsab xov xwm no peb yuav sim tham txog ntau yam dej num, phau ntawv thiab biography Sergei Borisovich Pereslegin.
Biography
Sergey Pereslegin yug hauv St. Petersburg (tom qab ntawd tseem Leningrad) thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 16, 1960. Sergey Borisovich yog ib tug nuclear physicist los ntawm txoj hauj lwm, nws tau txais nws kev kawm ntawv nyob rau hauv lub Kws qhia ntawv ntawm Physics ntawm lub Leningrad State University. Tom qab kawm tiav hauv tsev kawm ntawv, nws pib qhia nyob rau hauv ib lub tsev kawm ntawv ntawm Leningrad State University, tab sis maj mam nws cov kev txaus siab hloov los ntawm theoretical physics ntawm kev sib raug zoo sciences: txij li thaum 1989 nws ua hauj lwm nyob rau hauv lub system txoj kev xav ntawm lub Moscow lub koom haum rau kev tshawb fawb system, thiab nyob rau hauv lub nineties nws lectured on. Sociology.
Nyob rau xyoo 1996, Sergei Pereslegin yeej qhov khoom plig Wanderer rau nws phau ntawv sau txog qhov muag ntawm Typhoon, uas tshuaj xyuas qhov kev poob qis ntawm cov ntawv sau keeb kwm qub qub qub qub qub qub qub qub qub qub qub qub qub qub qub qub qub Soviet qub qub.
Txij thaum 2000 SergeyPereslegin ua tus tsim pab pawg tshawb fawb yav tom ntej, txij li xyoo 2003 - Lub Tsev Kawm Ntawv St. Petersburg ntawm Kev Ntsuam Xyuas, txij li xyoo 2007 - pab pawg Kev Paub Txog Reactor.
Sergey Pereslegin tau sib yuav thiab muaj ob tug ntxhais. Ntau phau ntawv thiab tej yaam num ntawm Sergei Borisovich tau sau thiab siv los ntawm nws ua ke nrog nws tus poj niam, Elena Pereslegina.
Pereslegin thiab science ntawv tseeb
Lub npe ntawm Sergei Pereslegin paub zoo rau cov kiv cua ntawm Lavxias teb sab science ntawv tseeb. Txaus siab rau cov ntaub ntawv keeb kwm kev tshawb fawb, thaum tseem yog tub ntxhais kawm, nws tau koom nrog Half Galaxy Science Fiction Club, thiab kuj tau koom nrog Boris Strugatsky lub rooj sib tham. Txij li thaum lig eighties nws tau sau ntawv tshawb fawb thiab prefaces rau ntau phau ntawv science ntawv tseeb. Nyob rau hauv lub series "Lub Ntiaj Teb ntawm Strugatsky Kwv Tij", luam tawm nyob rau hauv lub nineties thiab thaum ntxov 2000s, nws sau prefaces thiab afterwords. Lawv tau sau rau sawv cev ntawm cov neeg sau keeb kwm tsis tseeb nyob hauv lub xyoo pua 23rd hauv Ntiaj Teb Hnub Nyoog (uas yog, hauv ntiaj teb kev sau ntawv uas cov phau ntawv ntawm Arkady thiab Boris Strugatsky coj qhov chaw). Ua tsaug rau qhov no, cov dab neeg tshiab tau hloov pauv mus ua ib lub ntiaj teb, zoo ib yam li peb lub ntiaj teb, tab sis vim muaj qhov sib txawv ntawm Kev Tsov Rog Thoob Ntiaj Teb thib Ob, nws tau ua tiav cov txiaj ntsig sib txawv - yog li cov dab neeg tshiab tuaj yeem ua ke tsis tu ncua hauv ib lub ntiaj teb, Boris. Strugatsky txawm tso cai cov ntawv kho. Ntawm cov lus piav qhia zoo heev rau kev tshawb fawb txog dab neeg dab neeg, Sergei Pereslegin tau sau tej yam xws li "Detective in Arkanar", "The Last Ship of the Free Search", "Mirages of the Golden".xyoo pua", "Forecasters ntawm qhov kawg ntawm lub ntiaj teb no", thiab lwm yam. Lub Ntiaj Teb ntawm Strugatsky Brothers series tau txhawb nqa kev txaus siab ntawm cov neeg nyeem tshiab hauv kev ua haujlwm ntawm cov kws sau ntawv no thiab ua rau nws muaj peev xwm txuas ua ke ua ke Soviet thiab Lavxias teb sab science ntawv tseeb.
Rau nws txoj haujlwm tshawb fawb txog kev tshawb fawb Lavxias, Pereslegin tau yeej ntau yam khoom plig ntau zaus (qhov khoom plig Wanderer tau hais los saum no, ABS nqi zog, Bronze Snail, Sigma-F, Interpresscon thiab lwm yam).
Pereslegin thiab keeb kwm
Lwm thaj chaw txaus siab rau Sergei Pereslegin yog keeb kwm kev tshawb fawb. Nws yog tus sau thiab sau phau ntawv "Military History Library" series thiab lwm phau ntawv ntawm keeb kwm cov ntsiab lus. Ntau ntawm nws cov phau ntawv tsom mus rau cov xwm txheej keeb kwm, xws li Pacific Premiere, uas tshuaj xyuas kev ua tub rog ntawm Kev Tsov Rog Ntiaj Teb Zaum II hauv Pacific.
Qee ntawm Pereslegin cov phau ntawv ua ke ob qho tib si keeb kwm thiab kev xav ("Kev Tsov Rog Thoob Ntiaj Teb thib Ob ntawm qhov tseeb", "Kev Tsov Rog ntawm qhov pib. Gilbert's Desert").
Kev ua si
Ntau yam kev txaus siab ntawm Sergei Borisovich Pereslegin cuam tshuam ntawm qhov taw tes ntawm kev tsim kev sib raug zoo, kev pom yav tom ntej (los ntawm Askiv Foresight, "saib rau yav tom ntej") - txoj hauv kev rau kev npaj mus sij hawm ntev thiab ua rau yav tom ntej. Txij li xyoo 2000s, nws tau ua haujlwm hauv kev ua haujlwm ntawm kev sib raug zoo, ua qauv thiab kwv yees lub neej yav tom ntej hauv ntau qhov chaw siv ntau txoj hauv kev thiab thev naus laus zis.
Knowledge Reactor pab pawg coj los ntawm Peresleginua cov ntaub ntawv kev txhim kho rau ntau tus neeg siv khoom, koom tes nrog cov koom haum ntiag tug thiab pej xeem (piv txwv li, cov haujlwm tau muab coj los siv rau Ministry of Education thiab Science, Ministry of He alth thiab Social Development, Research Institute of Atomic Reactors hauv Dimitrovgrad, Skolkovo Open University thiab lwm tus).
Methodology
qauv qauv thiab kev kwv yees yav tom ntej hauv "Kev Paub Txog Reactor" tshwm sim nrog kev pab los ntawm ntau yam kev txawj ntse. Kev ua haujlwm yog ua tiav ib txhij ntawm kev txheeb xyuas thiab kev ua piv txwv, uas tso cai rau kev ua tiav qib siab ntawm originality, tab sis tib lub sijhawm hloov pauv qhov tshwm sim rau hauv kev daws teeb meem raws li txoj haujlwm.
Kev Paub Txog Kev Tshawb Fawb Tshuab zoo ib yam li kev tawm tswv yim, tab sis nws nyuaj dua. Cov txheej txheem yog ua raws li kev tshawb fawb thiab kev ua si ua si (lub luag haujlwm-ua si, kev tawm tswv yim, kev koom tes thiab kev ua si) uas tsim ib pab pawg neeg muaj tswv yim zoo uas tuaj yeem koom ua ke daws ntau yam teeb meem: scientific, technical, strategic, education, psychological. Qhov "kev xav Hoobkas" no siv txoj hauv kev tshiab los ua haujlwm nrog kev paub thiab muaj peev xwm tshawb nrhiav cov tswv yim zoo thiab cov xwm txheej yuav tshwm sim, kwv yees thiab tswj lub neej yav tom ntej, thiab tsim cov tswv yim tshiab thiab lub ntsiab lus. Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, kev saib mus rau yav tom ntej yog ua raws li kev nkag siab ntawm yav dhau los: kev kawm txog ntau lub tswv yim feem ntau tshwm sim los ntawm cov ntaub ntawv keeb kwm, kev tshuaj xyuas ntawm cov xwm txheej kub ntxhov thiab kev tsov kev rog yav dhau los.
Kev ntseeg
Sergey Borisovich Pereslegin hu nws tus kheej yog imperialist, txiav txim siab nws tus kheej yog Orthodox Christian, thiab kuj ua raws li kev xav sab laug.
Nws yog ib tus thawj coj siv lo lus "Lavxias teb sab" (ib lub tswv yim uas hais tias txhua tus neeg hais lus Lavxias, tsis yog haiv neeg Lavxias, tsim kev vam meej tshwj xeeb, qhov nruab nrab ntawm Russia) hauv nws niaj hnub txhais.
Sergei Borisovich paub meej tias tam sim no peb nyob hauv lub sijhawm tseem ceeb rau tib neeg. Nyob rau hauv nws txoj kev loj hlob, noob neej twb kov yeej ob theem teeb meem (thawj yog kev hloov mus rau kev ua liaj ua teb los ntawm kev sib sau ua ke thiab yos hav zoov, qhov thib ob yog invention ntawm luam ntawv xovxwm thiab cov creation ntawm ib tug railway network), thiab tam sim no tau ntsib nrog cov kev xav tau. kom kov yeej peb. Yog tias peb tswj kom tsim tau ib yam dab tsi tawg, ces tib neeg yuav nkag mus rau theem tshiab hauv nws txoj kev loj hlob, yog tias tsis yog, nws yuav rov qab mus rau Nruab Nrab Hnub nyoog. Cov theem tom ntej ntawm peb txoj kev loj hlob, raws li Pereslegin, yuav tsum muaj kev txawj ntse (uas yog, cuam tshuam nrog kev paub).
Ntau tus ntawm Sergei Pereslegin cov kev xav txawv ntawm cov neeg nyiam hauv zej zog: piv txwv li, nws xav txog qhov teeb meem ntawm lub ntiaj teb sov sov thiab ib puag ncig hysteria raws li txoj cai nyob deb.
Thiab hauv qhov xaus, ob peb lo lus hais txog cov phau ntawv nto moo tshaj plaws los ntawm Sergei Borisovich Pereslegin.
Kev qhia ua si ntawm lub ntiaj teb chessboard
Phau ntawv "Kev qhia tus kheej rau kev ua si hauv ntiaj teb chessboard" tau luam tawm xyoo 2005. Qhov no yog ib qho kev tshawb fawb ntawm kev sib tshuam ntawm geohistory, geopolitics thiab geography, kev soj ntsuam ntawm lub ntiaj teb niaj hnub geopolitical kev muaj tiag thiab cov phiaj xwm tshiab thoob ntiaj teb. Hauv phau ntawvCov teeb meem ntawm keeb kwm, kev lag luam, pej xeem, thiab kev kawm raug cuam tshuam. Nws qhia txog "lub neej ntawm lub xeev" - hais txog qee txoj cai uas nws tsim, hais txog cov kev cai ntawm cov txheej txheem keeb kwm, cov xwm txheej zoo li kev loj hlob tau muab. Sergey Pereslegin tshuaj xyuas ntau yam kev paub thoob ntiaj teb cov phiaj xwm uas tsim lub neej yav tom ntej, tshwj xeeb, nws hais txog "Lavxias teb sab kev paub project" - qhov xav tau thiab lub sijhawm rau Russia los tsim nws tus kheej kev sib tw ntawm lub neej yav tom ntej.
New maps of the future
Phau ntawv los ntawm Sergei Borisovich Pereslegin "New Maps of the Future" tau luam tawm xyoo 2009. Nws sim piav qhia txog qhov xwm txheej tshwm sim ntawm kev txhim kho ntiaj teb txog li 2050. Sergei Pereslegin txiav txim siab qhov xwm txheej tseem ceeb ntawm lub sijhawm no yog qhov kev hloov pauv tom qab kev lag luam, uas yuav tshwm sim los ntawm ib ntu ntawm kev kub ntxhov thoob ntiaj teb. Phau ntawv piav txog tej xwm txheej tshwm sim, kev cog lus cov lus qhia hauv qhov tseeb tshiab, qhov kev hloov pauv ntawm ib puag ncig peb paub, kev sib raug zoo thiab kev lag luam.
“Thawj Ntiaj Teb Tsov Rog. Tsov rog ntawm qhov tseeb"
Sergey Pereslegin phau ntawv kawg ntawm lub sijhawm "Thawj Ntiaj Teb Tsov Rog. Tsov Rog Ntawm Qhov Tseeb" tau tso tawm xyoo 2016.
Qhov no yog qhov kev xav thiab xav paub txog keeb kwm yav dhau los, kev sim nkag siab txog qhov zais zais ntawm Kev Tsov Rog Thoob Ntiaj Teb thib ib thiab nkag siab txog cov xwm txheej tseem ceeb uas ua rau muaj dab tsi tshwm sim thiab hloov pauv tag nrho lub ntiaj teb.alignment.
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